Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Batherson wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Batherson 45.7% vs Novak 45.6% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Batherson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Batherson
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Batherson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (36)
43.8% (384)
-7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.8% (17)
-58.8%
On power play, Novak has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Batherson is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Batherson shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Batherson
Novak
Home
52.9% (17)
46.5% (202)
Away
19.0% (21)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Batherson
Novak
P1
40.0%
49.2%
P2
18.8%
44.2%
P3
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Batherson
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%