Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Cozens 45.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 87.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Cizikas
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Cozens
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
4
Cizikas
Cozens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
46.7% (786)
+7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.9% (171)
+56.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
42.3% (189)
+9.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cozens
Home
58.6% (307)
46.2% (567)
Away
48.7% (339)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Cizikas
Cozens
P1
56.7%
46.5%
P2
49.8%
46.5%
P3
53.8%
44.2%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |