Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 50.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 77.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Cozens
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Cozens
Tavares
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Cozens
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Cozens
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
57.5% (914)
-8.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
60.5% (309)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
59.1% (22)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Cozens
Tavares
Home
49.0% (600)
61.0% (661)
Away
47.6% (574)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Cozens
Tavares
P1
46.5%
58.6%
P2
52.9%
57.8%
P3
45.2%
58.4%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |