Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 78.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 85.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Cozens
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Cozens
Tavares
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
7
Cozens
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
4
Cozens
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Cozens
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
59.2% (1,035)
-12.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
60.0% (310)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
42.9% (7)
-0.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Cozens
Tavares
Home
46.2% (567)
57.5% (668)
Away
44.9% (579)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Cozens
Tavares
P1
46.5%
58.0%
P2
46.5%
60.1%
P3
44.2%
61.0%
OT
22.2%
27.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |