Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 57.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Cozens
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Cozens
Tavares
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Cozens
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Cozens
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
57.7% (998)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
60.5% (271)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
56.4% (39)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Cozens
Tavares
Home
49.5% (638)
59.7% (610)
Away
51.9% (522)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Cozens
Tavares
P1
51.9%
57.2%
P2
46.4%
58.5%
P3
54.2%
59.4%
OT
16.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |