Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 83.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Cozens
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Cozens
Tavares
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Cozens
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
58.0% (914)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
57.0% (235)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
57.9% (19)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Cozens
Tavares
Home
54.1% (375)
57.8% (614)
Away
52.3% (331)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Cozens
Tavares
P1
55.8%
58.0%
P2
50.6%
56.9%
P3
53.7%
58.4%
OT
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |