Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Eller 53.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 59.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 65.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Cozens
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cozens
Eller
Last 5: Cozens 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Cozens
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Cozens
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
53.8% (865)
-4.4%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
57.1% (21)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
52.6% (137)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Cozens
Eller
Home
49.0% (600)
56.4% (486)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Cozens
Eller
P1
46.5%
55.1%
P2
52.9%
55.3%
P3
45.2%
51.7%
OT
53.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |