Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Eller 52.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 51.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Cozens
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cozens
Eller
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
52.8% (742)
-6.1%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
67.6% (34)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
46.2% (156)
-3.9%
On power play, Eller has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Cozens
Eller
Home
46.2% (567)
54.5% (448)
Away
44.9% (579)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Cozens
Eller
P1
46.5%
52.8%
P2
46.5%
50.9%
P3
44.2%
53.4%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |