Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Eller 51.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 71.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Cozens
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cozens
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Cozens
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Cozens
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
52.8% (650)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
69.2% (13)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
45.5% (88)
-3.1%
On power play, Eller has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Cozens
Eller
Home
49.5% (638)
52.6% (340)
Away
51.9% (522)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Cozens
Eller
P1
51.9%
52.4%
P2
46.4%
54.1%
P3
54.2%
50.0%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |