Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 73.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 66.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Cozens
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
34.4% (535)
+12.3%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
42.9% (21)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
40.0% (5)
+2.3%
On even strength, Cozens has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Cozens
Carlsson
Home
46.2% (567)
38.6% (254)
Away
44.9% (579)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Cozens
Carlsson
P1
46.5%
35.9%
P2
46.5%
33.8%
P3
44.2%
34.3%
OT
22.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |