Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 62.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 65.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Cozens
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
41.8% (648)
+9.6%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
37.3% (51)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
38.7% (31)
+3.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Cozens
Carlsson
Home
49.5% (638)
44.5% (362)
Away
51.9% (522)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Cozens
Carlsson
P1
51.9%
46.3%
P2
46.4%
35.1%
P3
54.2%
43.9%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |