Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 55.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Cozens
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Carlsson
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
3
Cozens
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
41.0% (1,844)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
42.9% (154)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
35.0% (120)
+6.0%
On even strength, Cozens has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Cozens
Carlsson
Home
48.2% (2,677)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Cozens
Carlsson
P1
49.1%
43.3%
P2
47.7%
36.5%
P3
48.8%
43.2%
OT
34.3%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |