Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 76.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cozens
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
56.5% (115)
-10.9%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
100.0% (3)
-49.2%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
100.0% (2)
-65.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +65.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kastelic
Home
43.9% (410)
54.8% (73)
Away
47.2% (430)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Cozens
Kastelic
P1
46.4%
50.0%
P2
41.6%
62.5%
P3
49.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%