Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 67.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Cozens
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
55.4% (345)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
50.0% (4)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
35.3% (17)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kastelic
Home
49.5% (638)
50.6% (162)
Away
51.9% (522)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Cozens
Kastelic
P1
51.9%
61.5%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
54.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |