Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Duchene 52.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 77.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Cozens
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cozens
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cozens
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
46.9% (162)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
73.2% (56)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
100.0% (2)
-65.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +65.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Cozens
Duchene
Home
43.9% (410)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.2% (430)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Cozens
Duchene
P1
46.4%
56.9%
P2
41.6%
52.5%
P3
49.4%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |