Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 75.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 80.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Cozens
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Cozens
Duchene
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Cozens
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Cozens
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
56.5% (566)
-9.8%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
61.3% (62)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
22.2% (9)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Cozens
Duchene
Home
46.2% (567)
56.6% (318)
Away
44.9% (579)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Cozens
Duchene
P1
46.5%
57.2%
P2
46.5%
55.1%
P3
44.2%
55.6%
OT
22.2%
81.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |