Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 86.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 65.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Cozens
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cozens
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cozens
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cozens
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
53.9% (193)
-4.5%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
49.2% (65)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
100.0% (1)
-60.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Cozens
Duchene
Home
49.0% (600)
54.9% (113)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Cozens
Duchene
P1
46.5%
54.9%
P2
52.9%
52.7%
P3
45.2%
51.9%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |