Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Backlund 50.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Cozens
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Cozens
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
51.5% (983)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
49.4% (87)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
45.3% (159)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Cozens
Backlund
Home
43.9% (410)
51.6% (653)
Away
47.2% (430)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Cozens
Backlund
P1
46.4%
50.0%
P2
41.6%
49.8%
P3
49.4%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |