Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Backlund 50.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Cozens
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Cozens
Backlund
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
2
Cozens
Backlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
51.9% (1,083)
-2.5%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
51.7% (120)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
44.3% (183)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Cozens
Backlund
Home
49.0% (600)
51.9% (673)
Away
47.6% (574)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Cozens
Backlund
P1
46.5%
51.4%
P2
52.9%
50.5%
P3
45.2%
51.4%
OT
53.8%
35.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |