Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 78.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 57.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Cozens
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cozens
Backlund
Last 8: Cozens 6-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
50.4% (1,032)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
52.3% (107)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
40.6% (313)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Cozens
Backlund
Home
49.5% (638)
48.7% (749)
Away
51.9% (522)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Cozens
Backlund
P1
51.9%
50.4%
P2
46.4%
50.1%
P3
54.2%
45.8%
OT
16.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |