Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Dowd 49.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 88.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Cozens
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Cozens
Dowd
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Cozens
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
51.7% (644)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
0.0% (2)
+58.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
41.6% (221)
-8.3%
On power play, Cozens has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Cozens
Dowd
Home
54.1% (375)
48.6% (451)
Away
52.3% (331)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Cozens
Dowd
P1
55.8%
49.1%
P2
50.6%
47.3%
P3
53.7%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |