Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Foligno 49.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 68.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Cozens
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cozens
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
49.0% (261)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
57.1% (42)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.1% (51)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Cozens
Foligno
Home
54.1% (375)
48.9% (178)
Away
52.3% (331)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Cozens
Foligno
P1
55.8%
40.4%
P2
50.6%
55.8%
P3
53.7%
51.2%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |