Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Foligno 52.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 61.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 79.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Cozens
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cozens
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cozens
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
53.4% (249)
-6.7%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
53.2% (154)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
40.6% (32)
+1.7%
On power play, Foligno has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Cozens
Foligno
Home
46.2% (567)
57.3% (225)
Away
44.9% (579)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Cozens
Foligno
P1
46.5%
53.0%
P2
46.5%
51.8%
P3
44.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |