Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 68.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Cozens
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Foligno
Last 8: Cozens 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
4
Cozens
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
48.7% (495)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
56.9% (65)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
43.8% (144)
-1.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Cozens
Foligno
Home
49.5% (638)
49.6% (359)
Away
51.9% (522)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Cozens
Foligno
P1
51.9%
46.7%
P2
46.4%
52.7%
P3
54.2%
46.7%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |