Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Foligno 51.8% (-10.8%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 57.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 53.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Cozens
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
58.1% (31)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
50.0% (2)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
50.0% (6)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Cozens
Foligno
Home
43.9% (410)
56.3% (16)
Away
47.2% (430)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Cozens
Foligno
P1
46.4%
50.0%
P2
41.6%
66.7%
P3
49.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%