Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 50.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 55.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Cozens
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Cozens
Foligno
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
6
Cozens
Foligno
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
48.3% (2,810)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
52.3% (730)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.0% (455)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Cozens
Foligno
Home
48.2% (2,677)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Cozens
Foligno
P1
49.1%
47.6%
P2
47.7%
50.4%
P3
48.8%
48.3%
OT
34.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |