Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 57.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 80.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 72.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Cozens
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
45.9% (665)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
46.8% (111)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (24)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
54.1% (375)
44.7% (409)
Away
52.3% (331)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
55.8%
40.3%
P2
50.6%
47.6%
P3
53.7%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |