Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 58.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Cozens
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cozens
Schmaltz
Last 8: Cozens 4-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Cozens
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
38.5% (309)
+8.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
53.2% (79)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
25.0% (12)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
46.2% (567)
38.0% (184)
Away
44.9% (579)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
46.5%
40.3%
P2
46.5%
39.9%
P3
44.2%
40.7%
OT
22.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |