Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Cozens
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
42.9% (133)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
55.1% (89)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.1% (17)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
43.9% (410)
41.6% (125)
Away
47.2% (430)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
46.4%
40.0%
P2
41.6%
59.5%
P3
49.4%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |