Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 81.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 67.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Cozens
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Cozens
Schmaltz
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Cozens
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
41.2% (3,399)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
47.1% (649)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.8% (134)
-6.8%
On even strength, Cozens has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
48.2% (2,677)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
49.1%
41.1%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
48.8%
43.0%
OT
34.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |