Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 66.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 60.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Cozens
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
48.1% (268)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
50.5% (91)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
58.8% (17)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
49.5% (638)
49.0% (206)
Away
51.9% (522)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
51.9%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
46.2%
P3
54.2%
50.4%
OT
16.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%