Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 81.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Cozens
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cozens
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cozens
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
55.4% (826)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
57.9% (221)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.4% (129)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Cozens
O'Reilly
Home
54.1% (375)
55.8% (579)
Away
52.3% (331)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Cozens
O'Reilly
P1
55.8%
57.7%
P2
50.6%
54.8%
P3
53.7%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |