Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 84.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Cozens
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
51.8% (444)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.3% (150)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
54.1% (375)
54.6% (304)
Away
52.3% (331)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
55.8%
55.2%
P2
50.6%
45.7%
P3
53.7%
49.5%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |