Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
23
(51 meetings)
28
23
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
16
4
Cozens
Kuraly
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
11
Cozens
Kuraly
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
8
Cozens
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
56.0% (100)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.2% (1,086)
-3.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
48.2% (2,677)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
49.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
34.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |