Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 85.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 7: Cozens 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Cozens
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
49.2% (901)
+0.2%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
68.2% (22)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
49.8% (219)
-10.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (600)
51.7% (603)
Away
47.6% (574)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
46.5%
50.9%
P2
52.9%
49.5%
P3
45.2%
49.1%
OT
53.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |