Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Cozens
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Cozens
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
55.3% (515)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
55.6% (9)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
44.8% (58)
-2.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
49.5% (638)
57.3% (293)
Away
51.9% (522)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
51.9%
53.8%
P2
46.4%
51.5%
P3
54.2%
57.6%
OT
16.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |