Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 72.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cozens
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Cozens
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Cozens
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
52.3% (982)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
41.9% (43)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
39.2% (245)
-4.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
43.9% (410)
50.3% (680)
Away
47.2% (430)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
46.4%
49.5%
P2
41.6%
49.6%
P3
49.4%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |