Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 84.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cozens
Gourde
Last 5: Cozens 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Cozens
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
47.2% (654)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
45.0% (20)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
32.2% (87)
+1.1%
On power play, Cozens has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
54.1% (375)
44.1% (322)
Away
52.3% (331)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
55.8%
42.4%
P2
50.6%
49.8%
P3
53.7%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |