Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cozens
Gourde
Last 8: Cozens 4-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Cozens
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
51.2% (469)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
42.9% (21)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
37.5% (48)
+4.9%
On power play, Cozens has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
49.5% (638)
47.8% (301)
Away
51.9% (522)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
51.9%
47.3%
P2
46.4%
53.4%
P3
54.2%
48.6%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |