Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 57.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
18
(40 meetings)
22
18
Cozens
Gourde
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
8
1
Cozens
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Cozens
Gourde
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
11
Cozens
Gourde
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
48.4% (4,954)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
57.4% (376)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
39.9% (554)
+1.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
48.2% (2,677)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
49.1%
49.9%
P2
47.7%
47.4%
P3
48.8%
47.5%
OT
34.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |