Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Cozens
Gourde
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Cozens
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Cozens
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
48.0% (914)
-1.3%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
54.2% (48)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
43.9% (123)
-1.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
46.2% (567)
50.2% (512)
Away
44.9% (579)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
45.3%
P3
44.2%
48.6%
OT
22.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |