Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 55.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cozens
Gourde
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Cozens
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
Cozens
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
49.1% (847)
+0.3%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
79.5% (44)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
39.5% (81)
+0.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
49.0% (600)
50.1% (491)
Away
47.6% (574)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
46.5%
54.7%
P2
52.9%
45.0%
P3
45.2%
49.4%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |