Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Larkin 45.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Lowry
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lowry
Larkin
Last 5: Lowry 5-0 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
40.7% (81)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
42.1% (19)
+15.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Larkin is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Lowry
Larkin
Home
49.9% (393)
44.4% (45)
Away
43.1% (452)
38.2% (55)
By Period
Lowry
Larkin
P1
45.1%
46.7%
P2
44.8%
39.3%
P3
49.1%
38.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |