Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Rodrigues 47.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Larkin
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Rodrigues
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Rodrigues
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
46.4% (224)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
50.0% (8)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
48.0% (25)
+1.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Rodrigues is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rodrigues
Home
54.9% (721)
46.2% (130)
Away
49.6% (641)
47.2% (127)
By Period
Larkin
Rodrigues
P1
52.4%
50.0%
P2
50.8%
46.8%
P3
54.4%
43.2%
OT
43.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |