Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Larkin
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
45.6% (250)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
40.0% (30)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
50.0% (2)
+5.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rodrigues
Home
54.7% (783)
46.5% (142)
Away
54.3% (816)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Larkin
Rodrigues
P1
55.9%
42.9%
P2
56.1%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
42.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |