Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Rodrigues 49.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 50.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Larkin
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Larkin
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
54.4% (180)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
32.0% (25)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
36.1% (36)
+12.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rodrigues
Home
56.6% (700)
47.9% (119)
Away
52.1% (655)
50.8% (122)
By Period
Larkin
Rodrigues
P1
55.4%
53.8%
P2
54.7%
51.9%
P3
52.7%
43.2%
OT
59.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |