Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Rodrigues 50.0% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 66.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Larkin
Rodrigues
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.2% (41)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
46.7% (15)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
50.0% (2)
-3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rodrigues
Home
56.0% (654)
45.8% (24)
Away
54.8% (639)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Larkin
Rodrigues
P1
54.4%
38.1%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
55.2%
61.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%