Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Malkin 44.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 66.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 74.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Larkin
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Larkin
Malkin
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
6
Larkin
Malkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
43.6% (1,028)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
52.2% (23)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
0.0% (1)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Larkin
Malkin
Home
51.4% (652)
44.2% (489)
Away
48.5% (662)
43.3% (563)
By Period
Larkin
Malkin
P1
49.1%
40.9%
P2
52.0%
42.2%
P3
48.0%
48.5%
OT
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |