Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Malkin 45.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Larkin
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Larkin
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
44.0% (366)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
30.0% (10)
+26.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Larkin
Malkin
Home
55.6% (662)
45.5% (202)
Away
48.3% (542)
41.4% (174)
By Period
Larkin
Malkin
P1
49.9%
48.4%
P2
52.7%
41.7%
P3
53.0%
40.4%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |