Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Malkin 46.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Larkin
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Larkin
Malkin
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Malkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
45.5% (602)
+7.1%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
50.0% (30)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
100.0% (1)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Larkin
Malkin
Home
54.7% (783)
47.5% (326)
Away
54.3% (816)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Larkin
Malkin
P1
55.9%
49.3%
P2
56.1%
44.7%
P3
51.1%
42.3%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |